Thursday, July 21, 2016

US Labor Department June Report

Post-Recession Unemployment has improved dramatically from a high of 10%, to the current 4.9%, with the US Economy adding 287K Jobs in June. Employment, as measured by Labor Participation, is down from a Recession high of 66.2%, to the current 62.7%, but suggests most of the improvement in Unemployment is the result of people leaving the Labor Force. Total Unemployment (blue line) at 9.6% lend support to the position of a weak job environment:

Friday, April 29, 2016

Apple 5 Year Daily Technical Chart

50 Day vs. 200 Day Death Cross in Aug-2015. FY Q2 2016 Results Disappointed And Retraced All Gains Since iPhone 6/+ Launch, Matching Oct-13 Peak At iPhone 5 Launch, 3.5 Years Ago. 2016 Bright Spot Still The Patterned Run-Up In Months Proceeding New Integer iPhone Launches, Unless The High-End Smartphone S-Cycle Has Peaked. Fundamental Story Is Neutral. One-Year Consensus Analysts Estimate Has Dropped To $125.95, From $142.67 On January 22, 2016:

Friday, January 22, 2016

US Labor Department December Report

Post-Recession Unemployment has improved dramatically from a high of 10%, to the current 5.0%, with the US Economy adding 292K Jobs in December. Employment, as measured by Labor Participation, is down from a Recession high of 66.2%, to the current 62.6%, suggesting most of the improvement in Unemployment is the result of people leaving the Labor Force, but it is finally trending up in Q4:

Apple 5.2 Year Daily Technical Chart

2015 Was A Doldrum And Declining Year, Causing A 50 Day vs. 200 Day Death Cross in Aug-2015 And Retraced All Gains Since iPhone 6/+ Launch. 2016 Bright Spot Is The Patterned Run-Up In Months Proceeding New Integer iPhone Launches, Unless The High-End Smartphone S-Cycle Has Peaked. Fundamental Story Is Strong. One-Year Consensus Analysts Estimate Has Dropped To $142.67, From $148.88 On October 30, 2015:

Friday, October 30, 2015

Apple 2.5 Year Daily Technical Chart

After An Early Run Up, It Has Been Doldrum And Declining Year, Causing A 50 Day vs. 200 Day Death Cross-Over in Aug-2015. It Has Been A Steady Climb Leading Into Q4 Earnings Which Beat Expectations. RSI And MACD Are Strongly Positive Heading Into the Holidays, As Price Is Poised To Push Past Second Level Resistance. Fundamental Story Is Strong After A Healthy Quarter, And The Upcoming Holidays. Consensus Analysts Estimate Has Grown To $148.88, From $146.88 On August 14, 2015: